Short Forecast

Author: Dan Chakonas  |  Category: Economy, Government, Investing

Expect some good GDP numbers for the next 3-6 months due to an inventory build. The media will then tell you how everything is great now.

After you stop laughing, you can expect slow growth to return after the inventory build loses steam. As discussed here for months, slow growth and negligible net job creation is the scenario for the foreseeable future.

Dow Jones vs. US Dollar

Author: Dan Chakonas  |  Category: Economy, Government, Investing

Here is a quick chart I got from CNBC. It is the last 6 months and shows how the DOW has risen while the US Dollar has fallen. So, your stocks have gone up but your purchasing power with the dollars you hopefully earned has gone down.

God Bless Rick Santelli

Author: Dan Chakonas  |  Category: Economy, Government, Investing

Here is Rick Santelli today laying the smack down on Steve “command and control” Liesman. Rick is one of the few reasons to watch CNBC these days. Santelli has always been rightfully upset about all the bailouts. Also, notice how he admonishes the corrupt press for not covering the several hundred thousand (at least) that marched on Washington on Saturday to protest debt, spending, and health care.

Who Do You Trust?

Author: Dan Chakonas  |  Category: Economy, Government, Investing

Last week the White House claimed their stimulus package has already “saved or created 1 million jobs.”

If you believe that statement, then you are too dumb to read this blog and you should not waste your time here. Saved or created is the new term used since net new jobs are not being created. In fact, we are losing jobs every month. The media should challenge this laughable assertion, but sadly they barely challenge anything coming from the White House these days.

The White House says their plan will “save or create” 3.5 million jobs. Well, even if we believe this saved or created nonsense (which I don’t) then $787 billion divided by 1 million jobs created so far equals $787,000 per job! If we take their big number of 3.5 million jobs then it equals $224,857 per job! Only an imbecile or a liar would think this is a good return on investment.

As you can see, I have no ads or anything on this blog. I do not write here to make money. I do not need money from this blog. I do it because many people ask me what I think about the economy and how to invest and believe it or not, I like to help people. People have emailed me and thanked me for my writing as they have made good money the past few months as well as avoided big losses. So, if people don’t want to read what I have to say, that is fine with me. I couldn’t care less.

Now, back in March I was a mere few days off calling the market bottom when I told you I was getting back in. I also predicted the snap back rally and gave you the range amount of DOW points it would be. I also told you then that unemployment would reach 10% plus when the White House said it would be 8%. I also told you to make some easy money by shorting the long treasury bond until the 10 year hit 4% where it would rally again sending the yield lower. Finally, I told you the White House debt forecast would be way off as they underestimated the debt they are causing.

So, if you do believe the White House and their 1 million jobs saved or created nonsense over me then I must ask why you would believe them when they have been wrong, and I have been right? They said if they passed their $787 billion stimulus (1 trillion with interest) we would peak at 8% unemployment. Now it is 9.7% and rising. They said their debt forecast would be one thing, and then had to admit it was off by $2 trillion.

Why in the world would you believe this “saved or created” jobs nonsense? If you don’t want to believe me that it is nonsense, fine. I don’t care. However, what have they done to make you believe them?

Dollar Hitting New Low For The Year

Author: Dan Chakonas  |  Category: Economy, Government

The US dollar index is hitting a new low for the year today.  Hey, at least its not an all time low, yet.

I’m sure it will all work out fine. (ROLLING EYES)